Core-periphery structures in global agricultural gross and value added trade networks
Abstract
Objective: This study aimed to identify and explain the structural differences of global agricultural trade networks, depending on the trade metric applied i.e., gross exports (EXGR) versus domestic value-added embedded in foreign final demand (FFD_DVA). By applying the core-periphery framework, we evaluated the degree of hierarchy, structural coherence, and temporal stability of core-periphery patterns within trade relationships between countries from 2011 to 2020.
Research Design & Methods: The analysis employed social network analysis (SNA) techniques, incorporating both the discrete and continuous versions of the core-periphery model, to identify structural roles within agricultural trade networks. The study relied on OECD TiVA data for value-added trade flows and constructs directed, weighted trade networks for EXGR and FFD_DVA separately. We calculated key SNA metrics, such as the final fitness index, coreness scores, the Gini coefficient, and heterogeneity.
Findings: The FFD_DVA network showed a much stronger fit to the ideal core–periphery structure than the EXGR network. China and the United States consistently formed the core, although their relative positions varied by metric. The FFD_DVA network became more stable over time and more hierarchical, confirming that value-added measures better reflect the structure of global agricultural trade.
Implications & Recommendations: Value-added metrics should be prioritised in assessing trade dependencies and risks, as they reveal structural patterns not visible in gross flows. Policy makers and researchers should apply value-added diagnostics to better identify vulnerabilities and understand the organisation of global agri-food supply chains.
Contribution & Value Added: The study offers a rare direct comparison of EXGR and FFD_DVA networks using identical core–periphery methods. It introduces a compact, multi-metric framework for analysing trade structures and demonstrates the added value of incorporating value-added data into agricultural trade research.
Keywords
social network analysis, core-periphery model, value-added trade, agricultural trade network, global value chains
Author Biography
Dominika Brózda-Wilamek
PhD, Assistant Professor at the Department of International Business and Trade at University of Lodz. Her research interests include social network analysis, with a particular interest in foreign direct investment and cross-border merger and acquisitions.
Aleksandra Nacewska-Twardowska
PhD, Assistant Professor at the Department of International Business and Trade at University of Lodz. Her research interests include international trade, global value chains, value added trade, and visual analysis of trade networks.
References
- Aguiar, S., Texeira, M., Garibaldi, L., & Jobbágy, E. (2020). Global changes in crop diversity: Trade rather than production enriches supply. Global Food Security-Agriculture Policy Economics And Environment, 26, Article 100385. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gfs.2020.100385
- Akamatsu, T., Takayama, Y., & Ikeda, K. (2012). Spatial discounting, Fourier, and racetrack economy: A recipe for the analysis of spatial agglomeration models. Journal Of Economic Dynamics & Control, 36(11), 1729-1759. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jedc.2012.04.010
- Antras, P., & Chor, D. (2019). On the measurement of upstreamness and downstreamness in global value chains. In L. Y. Ing & M. Yu (Eds.), World Trade Evolution: Growth, Productivity and Employment (pp. 126-194). Routledge. https://doi.org/10.3386/w24185
- Balié, J., Prete, D.D., Magrini, E., Montalbano, P., & Nenci, S. (2019). Does Trade Policy Impact Food and Agriculture Global Value Chain Participation of Sub-Saharan African Countries?. American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 101(3), 773-789. https://doi.org/10.1093/ajae/aay091
- Bialowas, T., & Budzynska, A. (2022). The Importance of Global Value Chains in Developing Countries’ Agricultural Trade Development. Sustainability, 14(3), Article 1389. https://doi.org/10.3390/su14031389
- Borgatti, S.P., Agneessens, F., Johnson, J.C., & Everett, M.G. (2024). Analyzing social networks. Sage Publications.
- Borgatti, S. P., & Everett, M. G. (1999). Models of core/periphery structures. Social Networks, 21(4), 375-395.
- Borgatti, S. P., Everett, M. G., & Freeman, L. C. (2002). Ucinet 6 for Windows: Software for Social Network Analysis. Analytic Technologies.
- Boyd, J., Fitzgerald, W., Mahutga, M., & Smith, D. (2010). Computing continuous core/periphery structures for social relations data with MINRES/SVD [Article]. Social Networks, 32(2), 125-137. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.socnet.2009.09.003
- Brinkmann, G., Rietveld, K., Takes, F., & IEEE. (2017). Exploiting GPUs for fast force-directed visualization of large-scale networks. 14-17, 2017. 46TH International Conference On Parallel Processing (ICPP), Bristol, UK.
- Burkholz, R., & Schweitzer, F. (2019). International crop trade networks: the impact of shocks and cascades. Environmental Research Letters, 14(11), Article 114013. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ab4864
- Chandra, S., & Joba, J. (2015). Transnational cocaine and heroin flow networks in western Europe: A comparison. International Journal of Drug Policy, 26(8), 772-780. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.drugpo.2015.04.016
- Chávez-Bustamante, F., Mardones-Arias, E., Rojas-Mora, J., & Tijmes-Ihl, J. (2023). A Forgotten Effects Approach to the Analysis of Complex Economic Systems: Identifying Indirect Effects on Trade Networks. Mathematics, 11(3), Article 531. https://doi.org/10.3390/math11030531
- Clark, R., & Beckfield, J. (2009). A New Trichotomous Measure of World-system Position Using the International Trade Network. International Journal Of Comparative Sociology, 50(1), 5-38. https://doi.org/10.1177/0020715208098615
- D’Amour, C., & Anderson, W. (2020). International trade and the stability of food supplies in the Global South. Environmental Research Letters, 15(7), Article 074005. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ab832f
- de Benedictis, L., Nenci, S., Santoni, G., Tajoli, L., & Vicarelli, C. (2014). Network analysis of World Trade using the BACI-CEPII dataset [Article]. Global Economy Journal, 14(3-4), 287-343. https://doi.org/10.1515/gej-2014-0032
- Distefano, T., Laio, F., Ridolfi, L., & Schiavo, S. (2018). Shock transmission in the International Food Trade Network. Plos One, 13(8), Article e0200639. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0200639
- Dong, J., Li, S., Huang, L., He, J., Jiang, W., Ren, F., Wang, Y., Sun, J., & Zhang, H. (2022). Identification of international trade patterns of agricultural products: the evolution of communities and their core countries. Geo-Spatial Information Science, 27(1), 49-63. https://doi.org/10.1080/10095020.2022.2122875
- Elliott, A., Chiu, A., Bazzi, M., Reinert, G., & Cucuringu, M. (2020). Core-periphery structure in directed networks [Article]. Proceedings Of The Royal Society A-Mathematical Physical And Engineering Sciences, 476(2241), Article 20190783. https://doi.org/10.1098/rspa.2019.0783
- Ercsey-Ravasz, M., Toroczkai, Z., Lakner, Z., & Baranyi, J. (2012). Complexity of the International Agro-Food Trade Network and Its Impact on Food Safety. Plos One, 7(5), Article e37810. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0037810
- Fang, X., Su, D., Wu, Q., Wang, J., Zhang, Y., Li, G., & Cao, Y. (2023). Dynamic changes in urban land spatial inequality under the core-periphery structure in urban agglomerations. Journal Of Geographical Sciences, 33(4), 760-778. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11442-023-2105-y
- Flaig, D., & Greenville, J. (2021). Trade Liberalization in APEC and Global Value Chain Participation: What Can Value Added Indicators Tell?. Journal Of Economic Integration, 36(2), 308-338. https://doi.org/10.11130/jei.2021.36.2.308
- Folfas, P. (2024). Global value chains before and in times of the COVID-19 pandemic. International Journal of Management and Economics, 60(2), 147-153. https://doi.org/10.2478/ijme-2024-0021
- Fusacchia, I., Balié, J., & Salvatici, L. (2022). The AfCFTA impact on agricultural and food trade: a value added perspective. European Review Of Agricultural Economics, 49(1), 237-284. https://doi.org/10.1093/erae/jbab046
- Gorgol, I., & Salwa, H. (2025). Detailed Examples of Figure Preparation in the Two Most Common Graph Layouts [Article]. Applied Sciences-Basel, 15(5), Article 2645. https://doi.org/10.3390/app15052645
- Gorgoni, S., Amighini, A., & Smith, M. (2018). Automotive international trade networks: A comparative analysis over the last two decades. In Network Science (Vol. 6, pp. 571-606): Cambridge University Press (CUP).
- Greenville, J., Flaig, D., Carrico, C., & Kawasaki, K. (2019). Influencing GVCs through Agro-Food Policy and Reform. In OECD Food, Agriculture and Fisheries Papers: Organisation for Economic Co-Operation and Development (OECD).
- Greenville, J., Kawasaki, K., & Beaujeu, R. (2017). A method for estimating global trade in value added within agriculture and food value chains. In OECD Food, Agriculture and Fisheries Papers: Organisation for Economic Co-Operation and Development (OECD).
- Greenville, J., Kawasaki, K., & Jouanjean, M.-A. (2019). Dynamic Changes and Effects of Agro-Food GVCS. In OECD Food, Agriculture and Fisheries Papers: Organisation for Economic Co-Operation and Development (OECD).
- Guilhoto, J., Webb, C., & Yamano, N. (2022). Guide to OECD TiVA Indicators, 2021 edition [working paper]. OECD Science, Technology and Industry Working Papers, 2022/02. https://doi.org/10.1787/58aa22b1-en
- Hryniewicz, J. (2014). Core-periphery – an old theory in new times. European Political Science, 13(3), 235-250. https://doi.org/10.1057/eps.2014.5
- Jacomy, M., Venturini, T., Heymann, S., & Bastian, M. (2014). ForceAtlas2, a Continuous Graph Layout Algorithm for Handy Network Visualization Designed for the Gephi Software [Article]. PLoS ONE, 9(6), 1-12. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0098679
- Johnson, R. C. (2014). Five Facts about Value-Added Exports and Implications for Macroeconomics and Trade Research [Article]. Journal of Economic Perspectives, 28(2), 119-142. https://doi.org/10.1257/jep.28.2.119
- Kick, E., & Davis, B. (2001). World-system structure and change – An analysis of global networks and economic growth across two time periods [Article]. American Behavioral Scientist, 44(10), 1561-1578. https://doi.org/10.1177/00027640121958050
- Kostoska, O., Mitikj, S., Jovanovski, P., & Kocarev, L. (2020). Core-periphery structure in sectoral international trade networks: A new approach to an old theory [Article]. Plos One, 15(4), Article e0229547. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0229547
- Lewin, P., Weber, B., & Holland, D. (2013). Core-periphery dynamics in the Portland, Oregon, region: 1982-2006. Annals Of Regional Science, 51(2), 411-433. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00168-013-0552-6
- Long, T., Pan, H. X., Dong, C., Qin, T., & Ma, P. (2019). Exploring the competitive evolution of global wood forest product trade based on complex network analysis. Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, 525, 1224-1232. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.physa.2019.04.187
- Nacewska-Twardowska, A., & Brózda-Wilamek, D. (2024). SNA metrics in the analysis of international trade measured by added value – the example of the EU trade network. Argumenta Oeconomica, 12(2 (53)), 159-175. https://doi.org/10.15611/aoe.2024.2.11
- Nelson, E., Helmus, M., Cavender-Bares, J., Polasky, S., Lasky, J., Zanne, A., & Fagan, W. (2016). Commercial Plant Production and Consumption Still Follow the Latitudinal Gradient in Species Diversity despite Economic Globalization. Plos One, 11(10), Article e0163002. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0163002
- Nerurkar, P., Chandane, M., & Bhirud, S. (2022). Understanding structure and behavior of systems: a network perspective. International Journal of Information Technology: An Official Journal of Bharati Vidyapeeth’s Institute of Computer Applications and Management, 14(2), 1145-1159. https://doi.org/10.1007/s41870-019-00354-2
- Nordlund, C. (2018). Power-relational core–periphery structures: Peripheral dependency and core dominance in binary and valued networks. Network Science, 6(3), 348-369. https://doi.org/10.1017/nws.2018.15
- Pascariu, G., & Tiganasu, R. (2017). Integration, Growth and Core-Periphery Pattern in EU’s Economy: Theoretical Framework and Empirical Evidences. In Core-periphery patterns across the European Union: Case studies and lessons from Eastern and Southern Europe (Chap. 2). Emerald Publishing Limited. https://doi.org/10.1108/978-1-78714-495-820171002
- Qiang, W., Niu, S., Wang, X., Zhang, C., Liu, A., & Cheng, S. (2020). Evolution of the Global Agricultural Trade Network and Policy Implications for China. Sustainability, 12(1), Article 192. https://doi.org/10.3390/su12010192
- Ray, D., Gerber, J., MacDonald, G., & West, P. (2015). Climate variation explains a third of global crop yield variability. Nature Communications, 6, Article 5989. https://doi.org/10.1038/ncomms6989
- Smith, M., & Sarabi, Y. (2021). UK trading patterns within and between regions in the automotive sector—A network analysis. World Economy, 44(2), 510-529. https://doi.org/10.1111/twec.13006
- Smith, M., & Sarabi, Y. (2022). How does the behaviour of the core differ from the periphery? – An international trade network analysis. Social Networks, 70, 1-15. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.socnet.2021.11.001
- Solanes, J., Beyaert, A., & Lopez-Gomez, L. (2025). Income convergence clubs in the Eurozone: a tale beyond the core/periphery divide. Applied Economic Analysis, 33(97), 1-18. https://doi.org/10.1108/AEA-02-2024-0085
- Su, J., & Marbach, P. (2023). Structural Properties Of Core-Periphery Communities. Advances In Complex Systems, 26(06), Article 2340004. https://doi.org/10.1142/S0219525923400040
- Thomas, B. (2013). Core-Periphery Relations in the European Union and the Role of Central Places in Europe with a Focus on Regional Policy in Britain and Germany. European Review, 21(3), 435-447. https://doi.org/10.1017/S1062798713000392
- Torreggiani, S., Mangioni, G., Puma, M., & Fagiolo, G. (2018). Identifying the community structure of the food-trade international multi-network. Environmental Research Letters, 13(5), Article 054026. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aabf23
- United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Statistics Division. (2008). International Standard Industrial Classification of All Economic Activities (ISIC), Revision 4. Statistical Papers, Series M, No. 4/Rev.4.
- Wallerstein, I. (1974). The Rise and Future Demise of the World Capitalist System: Concepts for Comparative Analysis. Comparative Studies in Society and History, 16(4), 387-415.
- Wei, W., Ali, T., Liu, M., & Yang, G. (2024). Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership Can Boost Value-Added Trade in Food and Non-Food Sectors in Asia-Pacific Economies. Foods, 13(13), Article 2067. https://doi.org/10.3390/foods13132067
- Wood, S., Smith, M., Fanzo, J., Remans, R., & DeFries, R. (2018). Trade and the equitability of global food nutrient distribution. Nature Sustainability, 1(1), 34-37. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41893-017-0008-6
- Yang, S., Keller, F. B., & Zheng, L. (2016). Social network analysis: Methods and examples. Sage Publications.
- Yu, J., & Ma, J. (2020). Social network analysis as a tool for the analysis of the international trade network of aquatic products. Aquaculture International, 28(3), 1195-1211. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10499-020-00520-5
- Zdráhal, I. (2024). The Revealed Comparative Advantage of Agri-Food Industries in Selected Countries in the Central and Eastern Europe: Gross-Versus Value-Added Trade Flows. Agris On-Line Papers in Economics & Informatics, 16(2), 133-150. https://doi.org/10.7160/aol.2024.160210
- Zhai, G., Li, K., Cui, H., Wang, Z., Wang, L., Yu, S., & Shi, Z. (2024). Ecological unequal exchange: Evidence from imbalanced cropland soil erosion and agricultural value-added embodied in global agricultural trade. Land Use Policy, 147, Article 107378. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.landusepol.2024.107378
- Zhao, J. (2021). Investigating the Asymmetric Core/Periphery Structure of International Labor Time Flows A New Network Approach to Studying the World-System. Journal Of World-Systems Research, 27(1), 231-264. https://doi.org/10.5195/JWSR.2021.1006
- Zhu, M. X., Zhou, X. R., Zhang, H., Wang, L., & Sun, H. Y. (2023). International trade evolution and competition prediction of boron ore: Based on complex network and link prediction. Resources Policy, 82, Article 103542. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.resourpol.2023.103542
